Chinese Exiting U.S. Real Estate as Beijing Directs Money Back to Shore Up Economy
Chinese Exiting U.S. Real Estate as Beijing Directs Money Back to Shore Up Economy
Third-straight quarter Chinese investors sold more commercial U.S. property than they bought.
Chinese net purchases of U.S. commercial real estate last year dwindled to their lowest level
since 2012, as Beijing kept up the pressure on Chinese investors to bring cash home during a
period of worsening economic growth.
Insurers, conglomerates and other investors from mainland China were net sellers of $854
million of U.S. commercial property in the fourth quarter, according to Real Capital Analytics.
That marked the third-straight quarter Chinese investors sold more U.S. property than they
bought, the first time ever these investors have been sellers for that long a stretch.
The selling during most of 2018 marked a powerful reversal from the previous five years, when
Chinese investors went on a massive buying spree, often handily outbidding other investors for
U.S. trophy properties. They spent tens of billions dollars on luxury hotels like the landmark
Waldorf Astoria in New York, a nearly $1 billion skyscraper development in Chicago, and a
glitzy residential project in Beverly Hills, Calif.
Now, many of China’s biggest overseas real-estate investors are unloading some of the
same prized assets, or at least reducing their U.S. exposure by selling stakes to new
partners.
The turnabout last year reflects an effort by the Chinese government to stabilize its currency,
reduce corporate debt, and help arrest the country’s economic slowdown by clamping down on
certain overseas investments. Some Chinese developers, now facing tighter credit conditions at
home, have tried to raise money instead by selling some of their U.S. properties.
Simmering trade and political tension between Washington and Beijing has also made the U.S. a
less hospitable place to invest for Chinese firms, analysts say.
Chinese were net buyers of $2.63 billion of U.S. real estate in 2018, the lowest total in six
years, according to Real Capital. China would have been a big net seller for the entire year
if not for a $11.6 billion purchase of GLP, formerly Global Logistic Properties Ltd, made by a
consortium of Chinese buyers a year ago.
Chinese have also been selling their U.S. homes while fewer new buyers are showing up. Home
purchases by Chinese in the U.S. tumbled 4% from April 2017 to March 2018 compared with the
same period a year earlier, according to the most recently available data from the National
Association of Realtors. That sharp decline reflected higher home prices, a strengthening dollar
and tensions between the U.S. and China, economists say.
China’s pullback from the U.S. property market is the latest sign that slowing growth in the
world’s second largest economy is reverberating across the globe, roiling financial markets
and undercutting corporate earnings. China recently reported a 6.6% growth rate for 2018, the
worst annual expansion since 1990 and a sharper slowdown than Beijing expected.
Chinese authorities aren’t likely to loosen capital controls anytime soon, and analysts expect
Chinese investors to continue to dump U.S. real estate in 2019.
“They haven’t managed to stabilize anything, so the timeline is going to be extended,” said
Arthur Margon, a partner at real-estate consulting firm Rosen Consulting Group, referring to
China’s currency control policy.
China began investing heavily in the U.S. real-estate market a few years ago after Beijing
loosened restrictions on foreign investment. Some Chinese investors were attracted to the stable returns in the U.S. property market and saw it as a way to diversify their holdings.
Yet some Chinese buyers seemed more interested in scooping up trophy properties that their
new owners felt brought prestige, political clout and helped promote their brands for global
expansion, analysts said. And while Chinese buyers never represented more than a fraction of
the activity in any major U.S. city, the big checks they wrote helped push values higher in
certain segments of the market.
“Without that big push from Chinese investors, the market doesn’t have that rocket-propelling
fuel to it,” said Mr. Margon.
Anbang Insurance Group Co. paid the highest
purchase price ever for a U.S. hotel with its $1.95
billion acquisition of New York’s Waldorf Astoria
hotel in 2015. The owner is renovating the
property and converting a number of hotel rooms
into private residences.
But the insurer, now controlled by the Chinese
government after its former chairman was
detained and subsequently convicted on fraud
and embezzlement charges, has placed another
portfolio of luxury hotels in the U.S. for sale.
Other heavily indebted companies such as HNA Group and Dalian Wanda Group have also
unloaded their properties in New York City, San Francisco, Minneapolis and Beverly Hills, Calif.,
after facing pressure from Beijing officials to rein in their aggressive expansion plans.
Brokers and bankers said most of these weren’t distressed sales. Even if the sellers sold for less
than they bought, they likely still made a profit after converting proceeds to the weakened
Chinese currency. The yuan has declined by around 12% against the dollar since the start of
2014.
Some Chinese investors are still interested in the U.S. real-estate market. But rather than
pursuing soaring skyscrapers or luxury hotels, they have focused on more mundane properties,
such as warehouses and smaller retail buildings such as convenience stores that offer steadier
returns.
China Life Insurance recently acquired an 80% stake in 10 shopping centers in places such as
Marietta, Ga., and Charleston, S.C.. through a joint venture with Site Centers Corp. that valued the portfolio at around $607 million.
While transactions above $1
billion now look like a thing
of the past, there is still
Chinese interest in real estate projects selling for
less than $30 million, said
Xinyi McKinny.
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