Economic Uncertainties Are Diminishing
March 20, 2012
The National Association
for Business Economics’ latest U.S. economic report reflects “diminishing uncertainty”
among the panel of 45 professional economic and business forecasters who
contributed to the report. This is good news for investors in commercial real estate in San Diego.
“Economists responding
to the latest NABE Outlook Survey are seeing strength in a number of economic
measures and have subsequently increased their expectations for employment,
housing starts, and business spending,” says NABE President Gene Huang.
GDP – Economists forecast 2.4 percent growth in
median real GDP in 2012, with growth accelerating in the second half of the
year. The inflation-adjusted forecast reflects their guarded outlook for the
U.S. economy.
Housing – Housing starts are expected to reach 700,000
units this year and 850,000 units in 2013. The economists forecast a 0.9
percent increase in housing prices in 2012 and a 2.0 percent increase in 2013.
Spending – According to the NABE outlook,
consumer-spending growth will increase by 2.1 percent in 2012 and 2.3 percent
in 2013, which is below the 2.8 percent historic norm. The outlook for business
spending is more optimistic. Economists expect business spending to hit 8.1
percent in 2012 before it decreases slightly to 7.3 percent in 2013.
“Collectively, forecast
uncertainty among the economists appears to have diminished slightly over the
last several months,” says Huang. This could be a very advantageous time
to pursue San Diego commercial real estate leasing.
Source: CCIM Newscenter
DISCLAIMER: This blog has been curated from an
alternate source and is designed for informational purposes to highlight the
commercial real estate market. It solely represents the opinion of the specific
blogger and does not necessarily represent the opinion of Pacific Coast
Commercial.
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