Enter the Cloud: The Times, They are a Changin’
July 27, 2012
The cloud, another way
to refer to the new digital storage age, has finally arrived – and it will
change commercial real estate in San Diego, and our lives, forever.
Sure, it’s been hyped
for the past couple of years. The late Steve Jobs was one of the first to push
us into the electronic abyss, launching iCloud for his new iPads before he died
last year. New Web-based file storage programs such as Dropbox have been
explored, and Google turned on Google Drive two weeks ago, offering 5GB free
in-the-cloud storage to anyone, and more for a fee.
But this is only the
beginning. Baby-Boomers – this isn’t the black-and-white, three-channel era any
longer.
Jobs, the consummate
Baby-Boomer, led the cloud push, building a $1 billion, 500,000-square-foot
massive server farm in Maiden, NC in 2010. Data centers such as these, with
server space for every person and company on the planet, are growing
exponentially, from Chicago to New York City, from Toronto to Beijing. (My
prediction? Amazon warehouses and data centers are today’s steady CRE bet.)
Imagine all the data you
own or create – pictures, videos on DVD or VHS or Betamax or whatever, work
files, etc. – stored on the Internet, available using any device you choose, be
it a laptop, tablet or even cell phone. It’s all WiFi-accessible, or even not
necessary, using today’s 4G speeds.
The hitch now is that
storage is still pricey past five gigabytes (about three movies), going for
about $50 per month for 1 terabyte (1,000 gigabytes). Too cheap, or worried
about security? Forget Web storage –this past weekend I connected a
two-terabyte hard drive to my WiFi system at home for about $160. Not only can
I call up any file or movie I own to any laptop, phone, tablet or TV in the
house, the drive has software to allow me to access those files on that drive
from anywhere in the world where I can get an Internet connection — which IS
pretty much anywhere in the world these days.
How will this impact San Diego commercial real estate leasing today? It probably won’t. The industry is
still, at its heart, about getting out, meeting people in person, walking a
property, firmly shaking a hand.
But technology will soon
change the playing field.
Office workspace will
continue to shrink, just like experts at firms such as Jones Lang LaSalle have
predicted, as more employees forego a desk for a portable tablet. Sharing files
electronically and teleconferencing, a fad only about six years ago, will take
over as being the desired office environment – making the office moot for most
employees.
In San Diego commercial real estate leasing, store space, as in the ironic twist exhibited
by electronics-giant Best Buy, will continue to shrink as people shop online.
Stores selling or renting DVD-style movies or games, i.e. Game Stop or Family
Video, will cease to exist, gone the way of music stores. Barnes & Noble
will follow, along with more newspapers and magazines that don’t jump firmly on
the digital bandwagon.
How quick is technology
moving? So quick that the Kindle, the ebook industry leader that came out just
four and a half years ago, is already obsolete. Remember the iPod? “One
Thousand Songs in Your Pocket” was the catch phrase that made Jobs a
billionaire. Today? Think every song, every movie, every book – at your
fingertips at a click.
Boom.
Source: GlobeSt.com –
Robert Carr
DISCLAIMER: This blog has been curated from an
alternate source and is designed for informational purposes to highlight the
commercial real estate market. It solely represents the opinion of the specific
blogger and does not necessarily represent the opinion of Pacific Coast
Commercial.
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