LIBOR: How You Probably Got Burned
September 21, 2012
So
did any of the commercial property deals you touched in the past five years or
longer, including commercial property in San Diego, use financing? Let me guess: the answer is yes,
of course.
Developers acquiring or
improving commercial assets such as land or buildings tend not to self-finance.
They often turn instead to our pinstriped friends at the banks for
adjustable-rate loans – adjustable, more or less because long-term fixed-rate
commercial loans are offered less and less by banks.
Enjoy Your Uncertainty
Why is fixed-rate
financing out of favor? ”Too much risk,” mumble our pinstriped friends. That
they complain about risk while having recently presided over a disaster of sub-prime,
liars loans and the like, well, never mind.
Service to these
floating-rate loans to a great degree constrains what a commercial space broker
can do in terms of flexibility on a lease. The way a landlord financed an
improvement speaks volumes to what a broker or rep can expect to see out of the
property even when perfectly matched with ideal tenants.
To put it another way:
we on the leasing side of the proposition could do our jobs perfectly, but if
the loans up the line are riding an adjustable interest rate — and these days,
most are — the perfect tenant and the perfect space far too often have to miss
each other because cash flow and debt service raise their heads to address the
uncertainty. Uncertainty we didn’t always have to deal with before, but do now.
That’s the role of the
banks: to provide capital at interest rates for the purchase of commercial property in San Diego that reflect the market for capital. But as with so many things
our pinstriped friends are supposed to be doing, the reality turns out to be
very different.
Gosh, This Thing We
Sold You Looks Risky: Good Thing We Sell Protection From It, Too
Most variable-rate loans
get the varying rate from one of the numbers published daily as LIBOR – the
London Interbank Offered Rate. The problem with variable-rate loans, of course,
is that they tend to make it impossible to know the total borrowing cost. Which
is why our pinstriped friends offer the chance to exchange, at some point down
the road, the variable-rate with a fixed-rate that’s higher. This is called the
swap. It, too, is keyed off of LIBOR.
So the banks, rather
than accept the uncertainty of a fixed-rate long term loan, pass along to our
industry the uncertainty of floating interest rates, then sell us the
protection against floating interest rates.
That’s a lot of dependence
on LIBOR.
Wouldn’t it be
incredible if it turned out that the constantly-adjusting interest rates our
pinstriped friends used to sell us the capital we need, then sell us the
protection against the uncertainty of constantly-adjusting rates…were fixed?
By “fixed” I don’t mean
“not floating”. In this case, I mean “fixed” as in a “fixed fight” — a
corruption, a cheat, a scam. Rigged. A fraud.
That’s exactly what it
looks like today, as the lawsuits and criminal investigations pile up: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=EYOzFwysdLg&feature=player_embedded#!
It appears as if the
LIBOR interest rate that governed your commercial property’s financing’s
variable interest rate as well as the swap used to get a handle on borrowing
costs was cooked for years to make member banks winners in their own
derivatives trades.
To a broker or developer
of commercial property in San Diego, this means you got left holding the bag and
paid too much for capital. To a tenant rep, this means you had to settle for
less than the best match for space. To a leasing agent or tenant, it means part
of your rent calculations went not to either party but to cover our pinstriped
friends. And the list goes on and on. It looks like the entirety of our
industry — and every other that borrows, which is more of less all of them —
has been once again punked by an out-of-control culture in banking.
Because keeping our
pinstriped friends in pinstripes is apparently our responsibility, not theirs.
SOURCE: Wayne Grohl, The
Source – Commercial Source
DISCLAIMER: This blog has
been curated from an alternate source and is designed for informational
purposes to highlight the commercial real estate market. It solely represents
the opinion of the specific blogger and does not necessarily represent the
opinion of Pacific Coast Commercial.
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